Are we toward a sharp swing this week? The rare event that hasn’t happened in 90 years
After two weeks of busy events, the trading week on Wall Street is expected to open today will be relatively calm, after the reporting season is almost completely behind us.
Two major players will continue to employ investors this week.
The first factor is the political uncertainty in the US administration, which continues to supply headlines at a dizzying pace.
The second factor is the recent turmoil in the foreign exchange markets, mainly on the European exchanges.
The most interesting measure for the week will probably be the S&P 500, which has recently converged in a very narrow range.
Pay attention to the closing prices for the index for the last 13 trading days:
2474, 2473, 2473, 2470, 2477, 2478, 2475, 2472, 2470, 2476, 2478, 2472 and 2476.
In the past 90 years there hasn’t been such a long sequence of ranging in such a narrow range, that is, the current stagnation is unprecedented.
This increases the likelihood of very sharp move soon.
Short positions on the VIX index, known as the Fear Index, which measures the standard deviations on the index’s shares, are at the all-time high at the beginning of the week, according to the weekly CFTC report.
A combination of these data increases the likelihood of a sharp movement in the near future.