Are we toward a sharp swing this week? The rare event that hasn’t happened in 90 years
After two weeks of busy events, the trading week on Wall Street is expected to open today will be relatively calm, after the reporting season is almost completely behind us.
Two major players will continue to employ investors this week.
The first factor is the political uncertainty in the US administration, which continues to supply headlines at a dizzying pace.
The second factor is the recent turmoil in the foreign exchange markets, mainly on the European exchanges.
The most interesting measure for the week will probably be the S&P 500, which has recently converged in a very narrow range.
Pay attention to the closing prices for the index for the last 13 trading days:
2474, 2473, 2473, 2470, 2477, 2478, 2475, 2472, 2470, 2476, 2478, 2472 and 2476.
In the past 90 years there hasn’t been such a long sequence of ranging in such a narrow range, that is, the current stagnation is unprecedented.
This increases the likelihood of very sharp move soon.
Short positions on the VIX index, known as the Fear Index, which measures the standard deviations on the index’s shares, are at the all-time high at the beginning of the week, according to the weekly CFTC report.
A combination of these data increases the likelihood of a sharp movement in the near future.
The trading on Wall Street ended yesterday with a mixed trend.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose above the psychological level of 22,000 points, a level that kept it up until the end of trading, this is mainly due to Apple’s report of a 12% rise in net profit to $ 8.72 billion, and revenue rose 7.2% to $ 45.41 billion.
The company overtook its profit forecasts and reached the forecast range of revenues.
The company sold 41 million iPhones in the quarter, in line with expectations.
The ADP survey for the private sector published yesterday indicated an addition of 178,000 new jobs in July, lower than the analysts’ forecasts of 190,000 jobs.
The survey is a preview of the official employment report to be released on Friday, which is expected to indicate an addition of 180,000 new jobs last month, after adding 187,000 new jobs in June.
The unemployment rate is expected to fall from 4.4% in June to 4.3% in July.
In China, the services sector PMI fell to 51.5 points in July, below expectations
The oil prices are falling this morning.
The price of a barrel of WTI oil is down by 0.3% to $ 49.42, and the price of a barrel of Brent crude is down by 0.4% to $ 52.16.
The Wall Street markets closed in a positive direction yesterday led by Blue Chip shares, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to hit record highs after positive US financial reports,which eased the impact of disappointing macroeconomic data.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.3%, closing at a record high for the fifth day in a row.
The S&P 500 Index (-2,476.35 + 0.24%) and the NASDAQ (+6362.94 + 0.23%) climbed by 0.2%.
US private consumption rose in June by the most moderate pace in five months, and inflation remained below the Fed’s target, according to data released by the US Department of Commerce.
The Manufacturing Activity Index retreated to 56.3 points in July from 57.8 in June. The ISM study US construction spending fell in June by 1.3%.